Portfoliomanagement
God has spoken, go out and read it. The core is dedicated to welcoming and explaining BRK to its new shareholders acquired through BNSF, so no big news. Buffett complains more about the media and investments analysts, on how they distort things, causing losses to the less diligent and recommends that everybody form their own knowledge base and opinion. Hope he lives to see that happening, but we sincerely doubt it.
We worried about implied expectations for 2010 in our Q4 2009 report and said that we were increasing the percentage of cash in our funds. Enter Greece and other European peripheral countries. Macro issues are not our core by any measure, and our point is just that volatility, that friend of the long-term investor holding a lot of cash, is on the rise. The post collects, as food for thought, interesting FT articles on Greece’s and Europe’s woes.
Buffett was particularly expansive regarding his processes and methods, and this alone makes this video worth the time (some 90 minutes). The fact that it was October 1998, a pivotal time in the dot-com boom and just after the LTCM imbroglio makes it even more interesting.
In the 1st Buysiders article inspired by a reader’s suggestion, we’d like to propose “anti-portfolios”. It’s a vital lesson in humility: our activity involves a certain degree of failure, of missed or simply wrong ideas. Recognizing that we are going to make mistakes over time is extremely important in order to mitigate risk as we define it (the permanent loss of capital). The objective here is to insist, once again, that price is the ultimate measure. (…) After you’ve done all the homework, you still have to demand a price that implies a large margin of safety – and keep analyzing the position everyday with the same skepticism you had before you bought it.
The investment mood is definitely optimistic and Merrill Lynch’s January 2010 fund manager survey is as good an indication as any: low cash balances, increasing exposure to equities, increasing appetite for risk. Some numbers are back to pre-crisis levels. As we point out in our Q4 2009 report (English version in the works), it’s hard to expect two consecutive years of out-sized returns and we’re prepared for a less ideal 2010.
They took questions from Columbia grad students and the event was broadcast live by CNBC. It has an eerie feel to it – with the whole “must keep spirits high” approach. That said, both men think in the long term (15+ years) and it’s always interesting to be reminded of some basic concepts.
Continue reading about Buffett and Gates at Columbia University
Part 2 of the excerpts from our Q4 2008 report. In Part 1, we introduced and exemplified the theme of the structural fragility of incentive systems via two texts, “Own Goal” and “Dolus Bonus”. In this text, we present the core of our reflection on the subject in order to highlight the importance of raising our moral critical standards.
Continue reading about IP report excerpts, vol. 4: Moral diligence (part 2)
Post 1 of 2 posts with excerpts from one of our most-commented reports. We look back at a highly unusual year – a period of seemingly definitive change which proved, definitively, that some things never change. 2008 was one of those years that tested our mettle and reaffirmed old principles, the most cherished of which is our moral diligence. We kick off with two introductory texts, “Own Goal” and “Dolus Bonus”.
Continue reading about IP report excerpts, vol. 4: Moral diligence (part 1)
The first 4-5 pages in GMO’s Q3 2009 letter are entertaining for their irony, but it’s hard to disagree with Mr. Grantham’s conclusion: concentrate your portfolio in quality U.S. stocks with a global earnings mix. We’d extend that to some non-US quality stocks with diversified earnings sources, of course.
In these excerpts of our Q3 2008 report, we discuss our use of the tried and true “roadmap” that our investment philosophy provides during even such periods of turmoil. In a nutshell, “In extreme situations, it makes all the difference to have very clear principles coupled with a simple, hands-on philosophy executed with discipline.”